Farbror the Guru

NCAAF
ATS: 3-0-1
O/U: 1-2-0
Tot: +1.77 units
NFL
ATS 0-2-1
Tot: -2.00 units
Soccer
SU: 5-2-0
Tot: +9.98 units

Feb 01 NBA: Cleveland/Miami (193.5u), 89 – 92, W
Feb 01 NBA: San Antonio/Phoenix (208.5u), 103 – 87, W
 
January 2007:
Won sides/OU: 44
Lost sides/OU/ML: 24
Push: 1
Won ML (units): 1.07 (n=1)
+17.07units, N = 70, ROI 124.4% (Assuming -110 on all sides)
 

Jan 31 NBA: Los Angeles/Boston (197.5o), 111 – 98, W
Jan 31 NBA: Boston (+6.5),  98 – 111, L
Jan 30 NBA: Cleveland (-2), 124 – 97, W
Jan 30 NBA: Milwaukee (+8), 80 – 110, L
Jan 30 NBA: Boston (+9), 96 – 103, W
Jan 29 NBA: Charlotte (+11), 105 – 101, W
Jan 28 NBA: Seattle (-2), 76 – 98, L
Jan 28 NBA: Indiana (+7.5), 87 – 95, L
Jan 27 NBA: Minnesota (+6.5), 101 – [...]

October 14 – December 31:
Won sides/OU: 119
Lost sides/OU/ML: 161
Push: 6
Won ML (units): 43.82 (n=33)
-9.00units, N = 319, ROI 97.2% (Assuming -110 on all sides) 
A Stunning 19 unit loss during December! Yukki.

Won sides/OU: 78
Lost sides/OU/ML: 98
Push: 4
Won ML (units): 37.08 (n=26)
+9.99units, N = 206, ROI 104.8% (Assuming -110 on all sides)

Won sides/OU: 63
Lost sides/OU/ML: 86
Push: 3
Won ML (units): 35.74 (n=25)
+7.01units, N = 177, ROI 104.0% (Assuming -110 on all sides)

Jan 02 NBA: Chicago (+4), 96 – 97, W
Jan 02 NBA: New Orleans (+3.5), 89 – 97, L
Jan 01 NBA: Boston (+6.5), 89 – 81, W
Jan 01 NBA: Boston/Portland (189o), 89 – 81, L
Jan 01 NBA: Minnesota/Charlotte (190o), 102 – 96, W

Won sides/OU: 119
Lost sides/OU/ML: 161
Push: 6
Won ML (units): 43.82 (n=33)
-9.00units, N = 319, ROI [...]

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Historically the ATS winner has been the SU winner in 82-85% of the games. The spread matters in only 15-18% of the games varying from season to season. Nailing a winner ATS is basically the same challenge as correctly predicting the winner.
Dogs awarded strictly less than 3pts seem to have been a nice ML strategy [...]

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